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STRATxAI

April 2024

Market Timing: The Clock Strikes Buy (Sell? Hold?)

Beginner
Intermediate

Introduction

Market timing is an approach to investing that involves attempting to buy or sell assets based on predictions about future market movements. Market timing can be either on a short or long term time horizon. Market timing is tough, and few can do it well. In this post, we’ll explore the viability of market timing.

TLDR

Discretionary market timing is not a viable investment strategy. Holding cash has a high opportunity cost and getting exposure to the markets is crucial to build long term wealth. There are some data-driven methods of improving risk adjusted returns.

Time in the market beats timing the market

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